February 4, 2011

India's yellow matar import on rise



India's peas import is at all time high... as on dec '11 it has surged 60% and is likely to remain on higher side only... Recent news on crop damages in MP due to cold has push domestic prices high and imports may remain attractive option for millers...

February 3, 2011

Sugar market update

Maharashtra quoting 27/- per kg duty paid whereas UP is around 29.2 duty paid... overall market sentiment is dull however buying likely to improve in next couple of days. Export ban delay has negative impact on market...

The Indian government would not be considering export of sugar under the open general license (OGL) in the medium term. The government may delay or cancel about 5 lakh tones of unrestricted exports under an open general license. Crushing is going on and supply is also good but the demand is limited, sugar millers preferred to wait rather than reducing the prices. However lower Free Sale Quota for February as compared to January is likely to trigger active buying in both spot and futures market

Sugar may not rally enough on Australian Flood

Was reading this article and this I think is making sense as Australia in Sugar space is a minor player and 20% damage in crop may have short-term impact of global sugar prices..


The floods in Queensland, which lifted world wheat prices on Monday, may prove less successful at supporting sugar values, even though the state is the centre of Australian production.

Phillip Futures analyst Ker Chung Yang forecast that sugar prices would "likely take a breather" in the short-term as rising hopes for Indian exports of the sweetener overcome concerns at Queensland's plight.

Queensland produces the vast majority of sugar in Australia, the world's third-ranked sugar exporter in recent seasons, after Brazil and Thailand.

However, sugar investors had already factored into prices the state's plight, which has brought the cane crushing season to a premature end, leaving an estimated 5.0m tonnes of the crop unharvested.

The Australian Sugar Mills Council last week estimated Australia's crush at 27.5m tonnes, the lowest for 19 years and 4.5m tonnes below initial forecasts.

"This has already been priced in, over at least the last two weeks," Mr Ker told Agrimoney.com.